The Rout that Wasn’t

The Rout that Wasn’t

Phoenix Project

Nov 7, 2024

As much of San Francisco mourns Donald Trump’s victory, San Francisco progressives can take some solace in local election results. After recent setbacks, the movement tallied up some impressive wins against candidates and ballot measures lavishly funded by the Astroturf Network.

Former District 2 Supervisor Mark Farrell, backed by GrowSF, Neighbors for a Better San Francisco and TogetherSF saw his hopes for the city’s top job evaporate on election night. Farrell was a distant fourth in the early results, well behind Levi Strauss heir Daniel Lurie, Mayor London Breed and progressive standard bearer Aaron Peskin. Results from Election Day are very unlikely to help Farrell.  Lurie had earned only tepid support from GrowSF and Neighbors for a Better San Francisco who far preferred his more conservative competitor Lurie. As for TogetherSF, it went hard against Lurie, calling him, not without reason, a “nepo baby” in a series of increasingly nasty mailers, TV and online ads.

Peskin still has a chance, but Lurie, who largely funded his own campaign, is the most likely winner and owes little to the Astroturf Network.

As for ballot measures, Proposition D, the initiative that promised to strengthen mayoral power at the expense of citizen participation and oversight, will lose. Nearly $10 million had been raised to secure the passage of Prop D, much of it from Michael Moritz, the billionaire backer of TogetherSF. Farrell, who led an independent expenditure committee for the ballot measure, saw his electoral chances gravely damaged from accusations that he was co-mingling funds intended for Prop D and his mayoral campaign. Days before the election, Farrell was forced to pay a staggering $108,000 fine for violating San Francisco’s strict campaign finance laws.

Progressive-backed Proposition C, establishing an inspector general to investigate fraud and waste in city government appears likely to pass. So did Peskin’s Proposition E, the progressive alternative to Prop D that would establish a task force and process to streamline city commissions. Proposition G which will fund affordable housing for seniors and families appears headed for victory. It sets aside $4 million a year to subsidize housing for seniors and families too poor to qualify for low-income housing. Proposition L, which augments MUNI funding by taxing ride-share companies, also sailed to an easy victory.

Conservative-backed Proposition F, which would have allowed San Francisco police officers to collect double-pay before retirement was headed for defeat.

Many of the supervisorial races are still too close to call. However, District 9 candidate Jackie Fielder easily defeated a field of candidates that included Astroturf Network-backed Trevor Chandler. In two of the more hotly contested races, District 1 incumbent Connie Chan is currently in a virtual tie with Astroturf Network favorite Marjan Philhour, and District 5 Supervisor Dean Preston similarly competitive with challenger Bilal Mahmood. Chan and Preston had been Astroturf Network targets with GrowSF establishing “Dump Dean” and “Clear Out Connie” political action committees to unseat two of the most progressive members of the Board of Supervisors. Given the propensity of progressives to vote late, it is likely that both will retain their seats.

The night’s biggest loser was Moritz and TogetherSF which spent big on Farrell and Prop D, only to watch them go down to resounding defeats. How Moritz, by all accounts an impatient man, copes with these losses will be interesting to watch.

Mark Twain once said that news of his demise had been greatly exaggerated. So has the death of the Progressive Movement in San Francisco. Next week, Phoenix contributor Lincoln Mitchell will conduct an in-depth analysis of San Francisco election results.

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